Arista reports exceed expectations, but stock price plummets. CEO claims it is in the 'golden age of network connectivity under the outbreak of AI'.
Despite delivering a positive earnings report that exceeded expectations, Arista Networks' stock price fell unexpectedly, reflecting not only the market's high expectations for AI-related stocks but also sparking investors' scrutiny of its future gro
In its latest third-quarter financial report, Arista Networks announced that its revenue increased by 27% year-on-year to $2.31 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of 75 cents. Both key indicators exceeded the general expectations of Wall Stree
However, this strong performance report did not boost its stock price. After the financial report was released, the company's stock price slipped in after-hours trading and continued to fall in the next day's trading, with a decline of over 8%.
The negative market reaction mainly stems from the company's failure to meet investors' heightened expectations. Arista provided revenue guidance for the fourth quarter in the range of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, with a mid-point of $2.35 billion,
In contrast to the short-term market's negative sentiment, the company's management is fully confident in the future. Arista CEO Jayshree Ullal declared during the earnings call that the company is in the midst of an undeniable and explosive trend of

Growth guidance fails to meet high market expectations
For a stock that has surged nearly 40% before the release of its 2025 financial report, merely "meeting" or "slightly exceeding" expectations is no longer enough to support its high valuation.
The negative stock market reaction after the report reflects the reality that forward-looking profit forecasts have not seen substantial upward adjustments, as pointed out by analysts from Evercore ISI in a report.
Raymond James analysts also believe that the stock price decline may be the result of excessive expectations and no real change in fundamentals. They maintain their in line with the market rating for the stock.
From investors' perspective, Arista maintaining its sales growth prediction of 20% by 2026 implies that the future growth rate may not further accelerate as they had hoped.
Fears over lower-than-expected product sales
The deeper concerns stem from the details of the company's revenue structure. According to Raymond James analysts, Arista's performance exceeded expectations mainly due to service revenue, which was 18% higher than their model had predicted, while pr
Arista's core business is to provide hardware equipment such as network switches for data centers, and its major clients include technology giants such as Microsoft and Meta. Therefore, the relatively weak product sales may cause some investors to wo
CEO Optimistic about AI-Driven 'Golden Age'
Despite a lackluster market response, the management of Arista remains firmly optimistic about the long-term opportunities driven by artificial intelligence.
CEO Jayshree Ullal stated in a conference call that as the scale and complexity of AI models grow, the demand for network scale is expanding simultaneously. Ullal emphasized that the company's goal of achieving total AI-related revenue of $1.5 billio
William Blair analyst Sebastien Naji wrote in a research report that Arista management believes 'we are still in the early stages of the big trend of AI'.
He pointed out that Arista is not only well positioned in the AI backend network market, but is also benefiting from the increasing demand for AI frontend networks, driven partially by the growth in inference demand.
Bet on Ethernet to strengthen AI network position
To seize the opportunities brought by AI, Arista is actively preparing for the next generation of network technology.
According to recent media reports, Arista has jointly launched the Ethernet for Scalable Networks (ESUN) initiative with industry giants such as AMD, NVIDIA, Cisco, Meta, and Microsoft this quarter, aiming to promote Ethernet technology to better ser
Ullal revealed that Arista's Ethernet product portfolio is fully compatible with the Ultra Ethernet Consortium (UEC) specifications and will continue to add compliant features. It is expected that various AI network designs centered on Ethernet will


